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model_monitoring_monthly
Commit 04453ff3 authored by 舒皓月's avatar 舒皓月
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....2019 07 28

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<div id='write' class = 'is-node'><div class='md-toc' mdtype='toc'><p class="md-toc-content"><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h1" data-ref="n2"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n2">概述</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h2" data-ref="n3"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n3">报告内容</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h2" data-ref="n11"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n11">监控的模型</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h2" data-ref="n64"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n64">时间跨度</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h1" data-ref="n68"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n68">PSI</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h2" data-ref="n69"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n69">与整体差别较大的客群</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h3" data-ref="n70"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n70">概述</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h3" data-ref="n78"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n78">有哪些客群</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h3" data-ref="n144"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n144">资质相对好的客群</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h3" data-ref="n153"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n153">资质相对差的客群</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h2" data-ref="n158"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n158">随时间分布变化较大的客群</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h3" data-ref="n159"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n159">有哪些客群</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h3" data-ref="n200"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n200">资质变好的客群</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h3" data-ref="n214"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n214">资质变差的客群</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h1" data-ref="n226"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n226">AUC</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h2" data-ref="n227"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n227">概述</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h2" data-ref="n233"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n233">相比整体模型效果较差的客群</a></span><span class="md-toc-item md-toc-h2" data-ref="n255"><a class="md-toc-inner" href="#header-n255">模型效果随时间变差的客群</a></span></p></div><h1><a name='header-n2' class='md-header-anchor '></a>概述</h1><h2><a name='header-n3' class='md-header-anchor '></a>报告内容</h2><ul><li>本次模型报告由于代码处于开发阶段, 所以内容并不完整.</li><li>主要包括模型分的PSI, 以及AUC随时间的变化, 以及客群与整体的差别.</li><li>尽管模型监控代码加入了自动筛选异常客群的功能, 但要更加深入分析仍需要时间, 此版报告为简略版.</li></ul><h2><a name='header-n11' class='md-header-anchor '></a>监控的模型</h2><ul><li><p>已监控模型:</p><ul><li>同盾V1</li><li>V6</li><li>百融V1</li><li>首贷融合模型</li><li>融360首贷融合模型</li><li>新颜V2</li><li>新颜V3</li><li>魔蝎</li><li>复贷新融合模型(无运营商)</li><li>复贷新融合模型(有运营商)</li><li>短信模型</li><li>探知</li><li>同盾V2</li><li>电话邦V2</li><li>百融V2</li><li>复贷V4</li><li>首贷新融合模型(无运营商)</li><li>首贷新融合模型(有运营商)</li></ul></li><li><p>暂未监控模型:</p><ul><li><p>不明原因(待与模型负责人交流):</p><ul><li>APP模型</li><li>量信分V2</li></ul></li><li><p>还有一些模型待加入.</p></li></ul></li></ul><h2><a name='header-n64' class='md-header-anchor '></a>时间跨度</h2><ul><li>考虑到整体模型的时间跨度, 本次模型监控报告的取数时间范围为2019.03.01 - 2019.07. 26.</li></ul><h1><a name='header-n68' class='md-header-anchor '></a>PSI</h1><h2><a name='header-n69' class='md-header-anchor '></a>与整体差别较大的客群</h2><h3><a name='header-n70' class='md-header-anchor '></a>概述</h3><ul><li>由模型监控代码在已监控模型中, 产生的有效客群数量为465个.</li><li>设定PSI阈值(0.5)后, 筛选出的与整体差别较大的异常客群有15个.</li><li>设定PSI阈值(0.1)后, 筛选出的变化较大的异常客群有25个.</li></ul><h3><a name='header-n78' class='md-header-anchor '></a>有哪些客群</h3><ul><li><p>客群列举:</p><figure><table><thead><tr><th style='text-align:center;' >客群名称</th><th style='text-align:center;' >月份</th><th style='text-align:center;' >PSI</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >同盾V1-复贷-百融榕树</td><td style='text-align:center;' >6</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.57</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >V6-首申-国美api</td><td style='text-align:center;' >6</td><td style='text-align:center;' >2.47</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >V6-首申-壹账通H5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >3</td><td style='text-align:center;' >1.75</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >V6-首申-平安一贷通安卓</td><td style='text-align:center;' >5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >2.07</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >V6-复贷-51公积金API</td><td style='text-align:center;' >3</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.53</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >新颜V2-复申-挖财api</td><td style='text-align:center;' >4</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.57</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >首贷融合模型-复贷-全渠道</td><td style='text-align:center;' >5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >1.09</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >首贷融合模型-首申-壹账通H5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >3</td><td style='text-align:center;' >1.89</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >首贷融合模型-首申-平安一贷通安卓</td><td style='text-align:center;' >5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >2.13</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >首贷融合模型-复申-挖财api</td><td style='text-align:center;' >4</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.51</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >融360首贷融合模型-复贷-全渠道</td><td style='text-align:center;' >5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >1.01</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >融360首贷融合模型-首申-壹账通H5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >3</td><td style='text-align:center;' >1.82</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >融360首贷融合模型-首申-平安一贷通安卓</td><td style='text-align:center;' >5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >2.13</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >融360首贷融合模型-复申-挖财api</td><td style='text-align:center;' >4</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.67</td></tr></tbody></table></figure><p>&nbsp;</p></li></ul><h3><a name='header-n144' class='md-header-anchor '></a>资质相对好的客群</h3><ul><li><p>暂时鉴别方式为在异常的基础上去看图, 准备后续加入趋势判断, 自动识别是变好还是变差.</p></li><li><p>经过查看, 均为资质相对较好的客群.</p></li><li><p>例如:</p><p><img src='../doc/image/融360首贷融合模型-复申-挖财api.png' alt='融360首贷融合模型-复申-挖财api' referrerPolicy='no-referrer' /></p></li></ul><h3><a name='header-n153' class='md-header-anchor '></a>资质相对差的客群</h3><ul><li>无.</li></ul><p>&nbsp;</p><h2><a name='header-n158' class='md-header-anchor '></a>随时间分布变化较大的客群</h2><h3><a name='header-n159' class='md-header-anchor '></a>有哪些客群</h3><ul><li><p>部分客群列举:</p><figure><table><thead><tr><th style='text-align:center;' >客群名称</th><th style='text-align:center;' >月份</th><th style='text-align:center;' >PSI</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >同盾分v1-首申-百融榕树</td><td style='text-align:center;' >5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.29</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >V6-全样本</td><td style='text-align:center;' >7</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.10</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >新颜V2-复贷-全渠道</td><td style='text-align:center;' >5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.66</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >新颜v3-全样本</td><td style='text-align:center;' >6</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.10</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >魔蝎-全样本</td><td style='text-align:center;' >6</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.34</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >短信分-全样本</td><td style='text-align:center;' >7</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.13</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >融360首贷融合模型-首申-融360</td><td style='text-align:center;' >4</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.12</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >电话邦V2-首申-全渠道</td><td style='text-align:center;' >6</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.13</td></tr></tbody></table></figure></li></ul><h3><a name='header-n200' class='md-header-anchor '></a>资质变好的客群</h3><ul><li><p>暂时鉴别方式为在异常的基础上去看图, 准备后续加入自动识别.</p></li><li><p>部分资质变好客群列举:</p><figure><table><thead><tr><th style='text-align:center;' >客群名称</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >V6-全样本</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >新颜V2-复贷-全渠道</td></tr></tbody></table></figure><p><img src='../doc/image/V6-全样本.png' alt='V6-全样本' referrerPolicy='no-referrer' /></p></li></ul><h3><a name='header-n214' class='md-header-anchor '></a>资质变差的客群</h3><ul><li><p>部分资质变差客群列举:</p><figure><table><thead><tr><th style='text-align:center;' >客群名称</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >同盾分v1-首申-百融榕树</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >短信分-全样本</td></tr></tbody></table></figure><p><img src='../doc/image/同盾分v1-首申-百融榕树.png' alt='同盾分v1-首申-百融榕树' referrerPolicy='no-referrer' /></p></li></ul><h1><a name='header-n226' class='md-header-anchor '></a>AUC</h1><h2><a name='header-n227' class='md-header-anchor '></a>概述</h2><ul><li>由代码产生的客群为113个, 因为本身放款数量相对申请数量少, 且需要响应时间.</li><li>设定AUCR阈值为0.85, 得到的异常客群数量为23个.</li></ul><h2><a name='header-n233' class='md-header-anchor '></a>相比整体模型效果较差的客群</h2><ul><li><p>客群列举:</p><figure><table><thead><tr><th style='text-align:center;' >客群名称</th><th style='text-align:center;' >月份</th><th style='text-align:center;' >AUCR</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >新颜V2-首申-挖财api</td><td style='text-align:center;' >4</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.80</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >新颜V2-首申-爱奇艺H5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >3</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.80</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >新颜v3-首申-360金融API</td><td style='text-align:center;' >4</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.85</td></tr></tbody></table></figure><p><img src='../doc/image/新颜V2-首申-爱奇艺H5.png' alt='新颜V2-首申-爱奇艺H5' referrerPolicy='no-referrer' /></p></li></ul><h2><a name='header-n255' class='md-header-anchor '></a>模型效果随时间变差的客群</h2><ul><li><p>部分客群列举:</p><figure><table><thead><tr><th style='text-align:center;' >客群名称</th><th style='text-align:center;' >月份</th><th style='text-align:center;' >AUCR</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >同盾分v1-首申-爱奇艺H5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >4</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.76</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >同盾分v1-首申-挖财api</td><td style='text-align:center;' >6</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.77</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >V6-复申-全渠道</td><td style='text-align:center;' >6</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.70</td></tr><tr><td style='text-align:center;' >首贷融合模型-首申-融360</td><td style='text-align:center;' >5</td><td style='text-align:center;' >0.75</td></tr></tbody></table></figure><p><img src='../doc/image/V6-复申-全渠道.png' alt='V6-复申-全渠道' referrerPolicy='no-referrer' /></p></li></ul><p>&nbsp;</p></div>
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